Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Corticella		Mezzolara

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
	1.97	3.2	3.14
	1.97	3.2	3.14
	1.95	3.1	3.1
	1.97	3.34	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (1.99)	3.21 ↓ (3.22)	3.2 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corticella
44.8%

Draw
27.5%

Mezzolara
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

27.6%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

23.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corticella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Mezzolara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corticella than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corticella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mezzolara than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Corticella is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mezzolara has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mezzolara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Corticella will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Corticella won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Corticella won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Corticella
Italian Serie D - Group D
01.11.23	Sammaurese - Corticella	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Corticella - AC Carpi	3:1 ✺
25.10.23	Corticella - Victor San Marino	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Aglianese - Corticella	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Borgo San Donnino - Corticella	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLW
- ASD Mezzolara
Italian Serie D - Group D
01.11.23	Mezzolara - Victor San Marino	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	SantAngelo - Mezzolara	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Mezzolara - Lentigione	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Pistoiese - Mezzolara	0:0 ✺
08.10.23	Mezzolara - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
29.01.23	Mezzolara - Corticella	2:2
27.09.22	Corticella - Mezzolara	1:2
19.06.21	Mezzolara - Corticella	1:1
07.04.21	Corticella - Mezzolara	4:2

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