Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 23

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Corticella		Tau Altopascio

	1	X	2
	4	3.7	1.66
	4.2	3.8	1.66
	3.53	4.08	1.72
	3.97	3.97	1.71
	5.5	3.75	1.5
	4.47	3.62	1.67
	4.2	3.8	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↓ (6.65)	3.82 ↓ (4.08)	1.65 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corticella
21.3%

Draw
23.8%

Tau Altopascio
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

22.3%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

21.8%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corticella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corticella's performance.

Tau Altopascio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tau Altopascio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corticella than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corticella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tau Altopascio than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tau Altopascio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Corticella - Tau Altopascio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Corticella is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tau is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Tau is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Corticella won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Corticella
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.02.25	United Riccione - Corticella	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Corticella - Forlì	0:3 ✺
19.01.25	San Marino Calcio - Corticella	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Corticella - Piacenza	4:2 ✺
05.01.25	Imolese - Corticella	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLWT
- Tau Altopascio
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.02.25	Forlì - Tau Altopascio	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Tau Altopascio - Zenith Prato	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	United Riccione - Tau Altopascio	0:4 ✺
12.01.25	Tau Altopascio - Imolese	4:1 ✺
05.01.25	San Marino Calcio - Tau Altopascio	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
13.10.24	Tau Altopascio - Corticella	4:0

Corticella - Tau Altopascio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide