The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cosmopolites 35.7%
Draw 30.8%
Racing Haïtien 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
32.2%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.3%
22.4%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cosmopolites has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Racing Haïtien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cosmopolites than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cosmopolites that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Haïtien than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Haïtien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion to Championnat National (Serie de Ouverture to Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).
Cosmopolites is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Racing Haïtien is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Racing Haïtien could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Racing Haïtien have a series of home games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Cosmopolites won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Cosmopolites won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.