Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 18

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu (General Pico)


	Costa Brava		Gutiérrez de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.4	6.25
	1.38	3.85	8.1
	1.4	3.7	7.73
				Watch
	1.36	4.05	8.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	3.75 ↑ (3.6)	7.66 ↓ (7.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Costa Brava
64%

Draw
24.2%

Gutiérrez de Mendoza
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

24.8%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

22.6%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Gutiérrez de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Costa Brava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gutiérrez de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Costa Brava - Gutiérrez de Mendoza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva L. (G) 4. Montero B. 2. Aguero P. 6. Alferez B. 3. Lara M. 8. Vivani J. 5. Rivadeneira M. 10. Ibarra L. 11. Rivas M. 7. Amieva J. 9. Gutierrez J.	1. Flores E. (G) 4. Ali N. 2. Mesa F. 6. Trentin J. 3. Pena P. 8. Luques J. 5. Marquez F. 10. Zabaleta B. 11. Estigarribia C. 7. Miranda E. 9. Bernal R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Gutierrez J. ⚽,
24', Gutierrez J. ↓, Gomez T. ↑,
29', Mesa F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rivadeneira M. ↓, Gomez T. ↑,
48', 🟥,
53', 2 - 0, Amieva J. ⚽,
55', Ali N. ↓, Salinas I. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Costa Brava is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Winners stage )

Gutiérrez is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )

Costa Brava is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gutiérrez is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gutiérrez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Costa Brava is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Costa Brava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.06.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Costa Brava	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Costa Brava - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Costa Brava	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Costa Brava - Huracán Las Heras	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Costa Brava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWTWW
- Gutiérrez SC de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.07.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	3:1 ✺
22.06.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1 ✺
16.06.25	Huracán Las Heras - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Argentino Monte Maíz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.05.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Costa Brava	0:1

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