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Current Win Probability
Costa Rica 15%
Draw 26.1%
Mexico 58.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21%
27.1%
52%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.7%
21.5%
65.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Costa Rica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Costa Rica's form might have worsened.
Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mexico's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Rica than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mexico than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mexico could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
3.8%
24.5%
71.7%
Costa Rica - Mexico Predictions
Users Predictions:
53 users predict this event. Costa Rica will win (votes: 2 - 3.8%). Mexico will win (votes: 38 - 71.7%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 24.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mexico: 59.6% – 83.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Recent matches Costa Rica is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Mexico is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Mexico is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Costa Rica won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8-17.