Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 23

Date: 20 January 2025, Monday


	Crema		Vigasio

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.2
	2.85	3.25	2.26
	2.94	3.48	2.21
	3.02	3.38	2.17	Watch
	3	3	2.2
	3.14	3.18	2.15
	2.85	3.25	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.31)	3.25 ↑ (3.14)	2.21 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crema
30.9%

Draw
27.9%

Vigasio
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crema's form might have worsened.

Vigasio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vigasio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crema than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigasio than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vigasio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Crema - Vigasio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Crema will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vigasio will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Akammadu F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 2 - 0, Akammadu F. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, Capellari E. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 14).

Recent matches Crema is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vigasio is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Crema
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.01.25	Castellanzese - Crema	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Crema - Cavenago Fanfulla	3:1 ✺
05.01.25	Ciliverghe di Mazzano - Crema	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Crema - Ospitaletto	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Club Milano - Crema	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWLL
- AC Vigasio
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.01.25	Vigasio - Ciliverghe di Mazzano	3:1 ✺
12.01.25	Ospitaletto - Vigasio	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Vigasio - Club Milano	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Vigasio - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Pro Sesto - Vigasio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLT

Crema - Vigasio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide