Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	Crevillente Deportivo		Novelda

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.1	3.15
	2.02	3.1	3.4
	2.08	3.26	3.51
	1.96	3.22	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)	3.17 ↓ (3.24)	3.45 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crevillente Deportivo
45.2%

Draw
28.6%

Novelda
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

27.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

21%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crevillente Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Novelda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crevillente Deportivo than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crevillente Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novelda than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novelda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Crevillente Deportivo - Novelda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 6 (Relegation Group) and 10 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 6 (Relegation Group)).

Crevillente is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Novelda has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Crevillente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Crevillente will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Crevillente won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Crevillente won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crevillente Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
05.12.20	Crevillente Deportivo - Intercity	1:1 ✺
29.11.20	Elche Ilicitano - Crevillente Deportivo	3:1 ✺
22.11.20	Crevillente Deportivo - Eldense	2:3 ✺
15.11.20	Crevillente Deportivo - Español de San Vicente	3:4 ✺
25.10.20	Villajoyosa - Crevillente Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLLW
- Novelda CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
06.12.20	Elche Ilicitano - Novelda	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Novelda - Hércules B	0:2 ✺
22.11.20	Villajoyosa - Novelda	1:1 ✺
25.10.20	Novelda - Eldense	1:2 ✺
17.10.20	Español de San Vicente - Novelda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.01.20	Novelda - Crevillente Deportivo	0:0
22.12.18	Novelda - Crevillente Deportivo	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
22.10.17	Crevillente Deportivo - Novelda	1:1

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