Match Info

NPL South Australia - Round 8

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Croydon		Adelaide Croatia Raiders

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.8	2.65
	2.13	3.75	2.75	Watch
	2.16	3.95	2.91
	2.16	3.98	2.85	Watch
	2.25	3.8	2.5
	2.02	3.92	2.87	Watch
	2.13	3.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.85)	3.85 ↑ (3.8)	2.75 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Croydon
42.8%

Draw
23.8%

Adelaide Croatia Raiders
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

23.8%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

22.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Croydon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Croydon's form might have worsened.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide Croatia Raiders's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croydon than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Croatia Raiders than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Croydon - Adelaide Croatia Raiders Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, Carle A. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Hisamoto M. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, King-Byrne J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 2, Radice P. ⚽,
57', 3 - 2, Hisamoto M. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Croydon won 3.

In recent matches, Croydon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Adelaide Croatia is in an unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).

Recently, Croydon had a set of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Croydon won 7 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:25 (average 1.9:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams, Croydon won 5 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 16:10 (average 2.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Croydon FC Australia
Australian NPL South Australian
25.04.25	Adelaide City - Croydon	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Croydon - Campbelltown City	5:3 ✺
05.04.25	Para Hills Knights - Croydon	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Adelaide United U23 - Croydon	3:2 ✺
17.03.25	Adelaide Comets - Croydon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLL
- Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Australian NPL South Australian
24.04.25	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Adelaide Comets	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	Modbury Jets - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Playford City Patriots	1:0 ✺
21.03.25	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - West Torrens Birkalla	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	North Eastern MetroStars - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.01.25	Croydon - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	3:2
Australian NPL South Australian
25.05.24	Croydon - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	2:1
23.02.24	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Croydon	4:1
28.08.21	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Croydon	0:2
12.06.21	Croydon - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	1:3
06.11.20	Croydon - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	2:0
31.10.20	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Croydon	2:0

Croydon - Adelaide Croatia Raiders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide