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Current Win Probability
Crusaders 23.1%
Draw 23%
Ballymena United 53.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
23.6%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
23.2%
45.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crusaders's form might have worsened.
Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ballymena United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crusaders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ballymena United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Crusaders - Ballymena United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Callister S. (G) 4. Blaney J. 9. Brooks A. 12. Doherty J. 11. Dunlop E. 2. Forsythe K. 8. Jewitt-White H. 3. Kelly G. 22. McKay R. 15. Wardell O. 6. Weir R. (C)
1. Walsh D. (G) 10. Allen C. 8. Archer J. 16. Clarke M. (C) 22. Edogun S. 15. Mccallion D. 7. McKee C. 9. Rutkowski I. 6. Sule F. 2. Toure D. 5. Whiteside S.
Substitutes
42. Anderson L. 43. Barr L. 64. Bond K. 31. Brown R. (G) 27. Maguire T. 7. McKechnie K. 5. Rough S.
23. Breen D. (G) 41. Hood J. 17. Leetch M. 44. McConnell C. 24. McEleney S. 26. Murray S. 4. Rocks D.
Coaches
Caddell D.
Kearney O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Rutkowski I. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, McCallion D. (Own goal),
29', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Wardell O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 2.
In recent matches, Crusaders has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ballymena United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Crusaders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Ballymena United has had a series of away games.
Ballymena United might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:19. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now
Crusaders: 0.84% Ballymena: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Crusaders
10
5
0
5
15:18
-3
15
8
Ballymena
9
3
3
3
13:11
2
12
Last Results with these Odds
Crusaders - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.39%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Callister S. (G) 
Blaney J. 
Doherty J. 
Jewitt-White H. 
Kelly G. 
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