Match Info

WSL 2 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)


	Crystal Palace		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.8	2.1
	2.75	3.79	2.17
	2.54	3.58	2.45	Watch
	2.95	3.59	2.16
	1.66	3.68	4.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (1.66)	3.69 ↑ (3.68)	2.67 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
38.1%

Draw
26%

Newcastle United
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.8%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

22.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crystal Palace's form might have worsened.

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crystal Palace, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Crystal Palace - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Newcastle (1.66) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Newcastle (1.39) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Newcastle (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle United will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Newcastle (votes: 16 - 94.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Yanez S. (G) 17. Blanchard A. 14. Green J. 10. Howat K. 9. Hughes E. 27. Larkin A. 3. Napier J. 15. Nolan H. 29. Swaby A. (C) 18. Vanhaevermaet J. 11. Weerden A.	16. Liefting F. (G) 99. Cataldo L. 12. Cooper D. 7. Gautrat M. 11. Gregory F. 9. Hayles S. 26. Lumsden B. 25. Mannion A. 21. McQuade J. 4. Nobbs J. 3. Stokes D. (C)
Substitutes
1. Annets E. (G) 4. Arthur C. 5. Cato M. 24. Hopcroft S. 22. Littlejohn R. 20. Riley I. 8. Sharpe M. 7. Sibley I. 16. Watson E.	6. Boddy E. 29. Fox J. 15. Grec M. 22. Joel L. 13. Moan C. (G) 35. Murphy E. 10. Pike M. 20. Sevenius O. 2. Wardlaw C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', Swaby A. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Howat K. ⚽, Blanchard A. (A),
61', Hayles S. ↓, Murphy E. ↑,
62', McQuade J. ↓, Joel L. ↑,
70', Howat K. ↓, Sharpe M. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Sharpe M. ⚽,
75', Lumsden B. ↓, Sevenius O. ↑,
75', Gregory F. ↓, Pike M. ↑,
83', Larkin A. ↓, Watson E. ↑,
84', Nolan H. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Sevenius O. ⚽, Gautrat M. (A),
90+6', Green J. ↓, Cato M. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 2, Gautrat M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).

Crystal Palace has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Newcastle is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crystal Palace won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Crystal Palace won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace LFC
English WSL 2
28.09.25	Durham - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
24.09.25	Crystal Palace - London City Lionesses	1:2 ✺
English WSL 2
21.09.25	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Crystal Palace - Southampton	4:4 ✺
07.09.25	Charlton Athletic - Crystal Palace	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWTL
- Newcastle United Women
English WSL 2
28.09.25	Newcastle United - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
24.09.25	Nottingham Forest - Newcastle United	2:1 ✺
English WSL 2
21.09.25	Birmingham City LFC - Newcastle United	4:2 ✺
14.09.25	Newcastle United - Sheffield United	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Nottingham Forest - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup Women
09.02.25	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	2:0

Crystal Palace - Newcastle United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide