Match Info

NB III - Southeast - Round 25

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Csepel		Vasas II

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.2	2.38
	2.69	3.1	2.39
	2.7	3.26	2.41	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.4
	2.68	3.13	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.28)	3.12 ↓ (3.73)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Csepel
33.6%

Draw
28.8%

Vasas II
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

24.2%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

23.6%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Csepel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Csepel's form might have worsened.

Vasas II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Csepel than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Csepel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasas II than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Csepel - Vasas II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).

Csepel is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vasas II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Csepel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Csepel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Vasas II	10	5	2	3	23:11	12	17
9	Csepel	10	3	4	3	20:16	4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Csepel FC
Hungarian NB III Southeast
11.04.26	Szeged II - Csepel	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Csepel - Dabas	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Csepel - Békéscsaba 1912 2	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Monori - Csepel	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Csepel - Tiszaföldvár	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWLW
- Vasas II
Hungarian NB III Southeast
11.04.26	Vasas II - Monori	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Tiszaföldvár - Vasas II	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Vasas II - III. Kerületi TVE	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Hódmezővásárhelyi - Vasas II	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Vasas II - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB III Southeast
05.10.25	Vasas II - Csepel	1:0
16.03.25	Vasas II - Csepel	2:0
28.08.24	Csepel - Vasas II	2:1

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