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Current Win Probability
Cumberland United 38.8%
Draw 24.3%
Adelaide Blue Eagles 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
25.6%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
25.6%
42.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cumberland United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cumberland United's performance.
Adelaide Blue Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide Blue Eagles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumberland United than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cumberland United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Blue Eagles than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide Blue Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cumberland United - Adelaide Blue Eagles Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cumberland United won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cumberland United won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.5:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cumberland United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Adelaide Blue Eagles - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 42.75%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.