Match Info

SA State League - Round 8

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Cumberland United		West Adelaide

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.25
	2.6	3.9	2.19
	2.62	4.1	2.2
	2.57	4.12	2.19	Watch
	2.53	3.9	2.18
	2.6	3.9	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.12)	3.9 ↓ (3.97)	2.2 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumberland United
35.3%

Draw
23.3%

West Adelaide
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

23%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

22.3%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumberland United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cumberland United's form might have worsened.

West Adelaide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting West Adelaide's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumberland United than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cumberland United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Adelaide than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for West Adelaide, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cumberland United - West Adelaide Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 0 - 2, ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, ⚽,
63', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

West Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cumberland United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Cumberland United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumberland United
Australian SA State League
26.04.25	Cumberland United - Sturt Lions	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Adelaide Cobras - Cumberland United	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Cumberland United - Pontian Eagles	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Fulham United - Cumberland United	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Cumberland United - South Adelaide Panthers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWW
- West Adelaide SC
Australian SA State League
25.04.25	West Adelaide - Cove	7:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sturt Lions - West Adelaide	3:2 ✺
06.04.25	West Adelaide - Salisbury United	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Adelaide Cobras - West Adelaide	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	West Adelaide - Adelaide Blue Eagles	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian SA State League
22.06.24	West Adelaide - Cumberland United	1:2
Australian NPL South Australian
01.07.17	Cumberland United - West Adelaide	0:3
18.03.17	West Adelaide - Cumberland United	2:2
Club Friendly
01.02.17	West Adelaide - Cumberland United	2:2

Cumberland United - West Adelaide: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide