Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HAMBURG - ROUND 34

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday


	Curslack Neuengamme		Süderelbe

	1	X	2
	3.06	4.48	1.89
	3.4	4.25	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.8)	4.37 ↑ (4)	1.85 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curslack Neuengamme
28.6%

Draw
21.2%

Süderelbe
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

22.7%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

22%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curslack Neuengamme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Süderelbe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Süderelbe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curslack Neuengamme than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Süderelbe than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Süderelbe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Curslack Neuengamme won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Curslack Neuengamme could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Süderelbe will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Curslack Neuengamme won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 31-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Curslack Neuengamme won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Curslack Neuengamme
German Oberliga Hamburg
25.03.23	Curslack Neuengamme - Victoria Hamburg	4:4 ✺
17.03.23	Wandsbeker Concordia - Curslack Neuengamme	4:1 ✺
04.03.23	Curslack Neuengamme - Eimsbütteler	0:7 ✺
18.02.23	Curslack Neuengamme - Dassendorf	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	TSV Buchholz 08 - Curslack Neuengamme	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.3 TLLTW
- FC Süderelbe
German Oberliga Hamburg
31.03.23	Süderelbe - TuRa Harksheide	4:0 ✺
26.03.23	HEBC Hamburg - Süderelbe	4:1 ✺
19.03.23	Union Tornesch - Süderelbe	1:0 ✺
03.03.23	Süderelbe - Rugenbergen	0:2 ✺
24.02.23	Victoria Hamburg - Süderelbe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
14.10.22	Süderelbe - Curslack Neuengamme	4:3
28.02.20	Süderelbe - Curslack Neuengamme	0:2
06.09.19	Curslack Neuengamme - Süderelbe	1:1
05.04.19	Curslack Neuengamme - Süderelbe	4:1
05.10.18	Süderelbe - Curslack Neuengamme	2:4
09.03.18	Süderelbe - Curslack Neuengamme	0:2
09.09.17	Curslack Neuengamme - Süderelbe	5:1

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