Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 26

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Czarni Połaniec		Cracovia 2

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.75	3.1
	1.88	3.91	3.06
	1.94	4.21	2.94	Watch
	1.98	3.84	2.98	Watch
	1.93	3.55	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 (1.93)	3.85 ↑ (3.55)	3.02 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Czarni Połaniec
46.7%

Draw
23.4%

Cracovia 2
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

25%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

22.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Czarni Połaniec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Cracovia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia 2 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Czarni Połaniec - Cracovia 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 0, Gaj B. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).

Czarni Połaniec is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cracovia 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Czarni Połaniec won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Czarni Połaniec won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Czarni Polaniec	11	6	2	3	18:16	2	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.04.26	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Czarni Połaniec	1:5 ✺
28.03.26	Czarni Połaniec - Wisła II Kraków	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Czarni Połaniec	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Czarni Połaniec - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Czarni Połaniec - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL
- Cracovia 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.04.26	Cracovia 2 - Świdniczanka Świdnik	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Avia Świdnik - Cracovia 2	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cracovia 2 - Korona Kielce 2	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Cracovia 2	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Cracovia 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Cracovia 2 - Czarni Połaniec	1:0
13.05.23	Cracovia 2 - Czarni Połaniec	1:0
08.10.22	Czarni Połaniec - Cracovia 2	1:0
12.03.22	Czarni Połaniec - Cracovia 2	0:3
15.08.21	Cracovia 2 - Czarni Połaniec	1:1

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