Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Czarni Połaniec		Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.05
	2.82	3.65	2.08
	2.81	3.75	2.14	Watch
	2.8	3.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.71)	3.66 ↓ (3.68)	2.09 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Czarni Połaniec
32.3%

Draw
24.6%

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

24.7%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

24.7%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Czarni Połaniec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Kazimierza Wielka than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Czarni Połaniec - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(5 - 2)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 14).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Czarni Połaniec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Czarni Połaniec has had a series of away games.

Kazimierza Wielka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.09.25	Wisła II Kraków - Czarni Połaniec	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Czarni Połaniec	3:1 ✺
27.08.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Czarni Połaniec	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Czarni Połaniec	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Czarni Połaniec - Wisłoka Dębica	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLLL
- Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
06.09.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Stal Kraśnik	0:4 ✺
30.08.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	1:1 ✺
27.08.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Korona Kielce 2	2:3 ✺
22.08.25	Avia Świdnik - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	4:0 ✺
15.08.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Star Starachowice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLW

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