Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Czarni Połaniec		Stal Kraśnik

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.65	3.95
	1.66	3.79	4.08
	1.62	4.11	4.34	Watch
	1.66	3.78	4.27	Watch
	1.42	4.5	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.42)	3.97 ↓ (4.5)	4.31 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Czarni Połaniec
56.2%

Draw
22.8%

Stal Kraśnik
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

19.7%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

17.9%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Czarni Połaniec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Czarni Połaniec's form might have worsened.

Stal Kraśnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Czarni Połaniec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Kraśnik than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Czarni Połaniec - Stal Kraśnik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Czarni Połaniec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Czarni Połaniec (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Czarni Połaniec (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Czarni Połaniec has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Stal Kraśnik is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Czarni Połaniec is the team to beat.

We predict that Czarni Połaniec will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Czarni Połaniec won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Czarni Połaniec won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Czarni Polaniec	11	6	2	3	18:16	2	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.04.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Czarni Połaniec	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Czarni Połaniec - Cracovia 2	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Czarni Połaniec	1:5 ✺
28.03.26	Czarni Połaniec - Wisła II Kraków	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Czarni Połaniec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWWW
- Stal Kraśnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.04.26	Stal Kraśnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Stal Kraśnik	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Stal Kraśnik - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Stal Kraśnik - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Stal Kraśnik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.10.25	Stal Kraśnik - Czarni Połaniec	1:1
10.04.19	Stal Kraśnik - Czarni Połaniec	0:0
01.09.18	Czarni Połaniec - Stal Kraśnik	2:1

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