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Current Win Probability
Cúcuta Deportivo 37%
Draw 30.2%
Llaneros SA 32.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.2%
29.5%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
26.1%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cúcuta Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cúcuta Deportivo's form might have worsened.
Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llaneros SA's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Cúcuta Deportivo - Llaneros SA Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cúcuta will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Llaneros SA will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Abadia F. (C) 26. Abonia Y. 2. Lopes H. 4. Quinones J. 30. Montano B. 10. Berdugo L. 5. Mejia V. 77. Neneco 20. Perez D. 9. Peralta J. 11. Torres G.
22. Romana Garavito R. (G) 2. Mena Posada H. H. 26. Quintero D. 21. Meza F. (C) 94. Medranda J. 6. Sierra M. 95. Jhon Vasquez 7. Miranda L. 10. Ospina N. 32. Castaneda F. 17. Mena Y.
Substitutes
32. Agudelo J. 3. Calcaterra D. 8. Ceballos J. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. 16. Londono K. 7. Manyoma Cordoba J. E. 17. Ochoa L. 1. Ramirez J. (G) 13. Rodriguez B.
70. Contreras J. 9. Cortes C. 33. Kelvin Osorio 12. Loaiza J. (G) 19. Mantilla D. 23. Moralez A. 8. Ramirez J.
Coaches
Chiesa N.
Garcia J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Peralta J. ⚽, Torres G. (A),
15', Mena Posada H. H. 🟨,
33', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,
39', Berdugo L. 🟨,
45+2', Miranda L. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Berdugo L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Peralta J. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Mena Y. ⚽,
64', Torres G. ↓, Ceballos J. ↑,
64', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Mantilla D. ↑,
64', Miranda L. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
71', Abonia Y. ↓, Ochoa L. ↑,
72', Castaneda F. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
72', Sierra M. ↓, Kelvin Osorio ↑,
82', Ospina N. ↓, Cortes C. ↑,
83', Montano B. ↓, Duarte Barajas E. M. ↑,
83', Berdugo L. ↓, Londono K. ↑,
83', Perez D. ↓, Calcaterra D. ↑,
90+1', Mena Y. 🟨,
90+4', Kelvin Osorio 🟨,
90+4', Quintero D. 🟥,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Cúcuta (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Llaneros SA have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Cúcuta has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:13 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cúcuta against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:7 goals (averaging 1:1.4 per game).