The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cúcuta Deportivo 20.9%
Draw 27.4%
Millonarios 51.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
20.4%
26.5%
53.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.8%
28.8%
57.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Millonarios could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cúcuta Deportivo - Millonarios Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Abadia F. (G) 26. Abonia Y. 3. Calcaterra D. (C) 4. Quinones J. 30. Montano B. 14. Tamayo K. 7. Manyoma Cordoba J. E. 8. Ceballos J. 5. Mejia V. 29. Rios L. 11. Torres G.
1. Burrai J. (G) 3. Samuel M. 4. Barreiro S. 6. Mosquera S. 20. Banguero D. 19. Garcia M. 18. Urena R. 13. Chaverra F. 11. Estupinan A. 25. Quintero D. 23. Castro L. (C)
Substitutes
31. Diaz J. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. 2. Lopes H. 17. Ochoa L. 20. Perez D. 1. Ramirez J. (G) 13. Rodriguez B. 33. Tamara S. 15. Vasquez S.
12. Aguirre J. (G) 24. Angulo J. 27. Contreras R. 26. Llinas A. 15. Romero Y. 10. Ruiz D. 14. Silva D. 22. Valencia S. 30. Viveros S.
Coaches
Chiesa N.
Gamero A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Tamayo K. 🟨,
27', Samuel M. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Tamayo K. ↓, Duarte Barajas E. M. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Urena R. ⚽, Quintero D. (A),
61', Abonia Y. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
65', Castro L. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
65', Rios L. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
65', Manyoma Cordoba J. E. ↓, Tamara S. ↑,
76', Quintero D. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
78', Calcaterra D. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
78', Barreiro S. ↓, Llinas A. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Torres G. ⚽, Duarte Barajas E. M. (A),
84', 1 - 2, Contreras R. ⚽,
90', Chaverra F. 🟨,
90', Estupinan A. ↓, Valencia S. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Millonarios is considered a favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cúcuta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Millonarios
16
6
8
2
24:14
10
26
8
Cucuta
14
6
3
5
17:19
-2
21
Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now
Millonarios: 8.35% Cucuta: 1.6%
Last Results with these Odds
Millonarios - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 53.1%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.