Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Russia	Viju+ Sport
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play


	Independiente Santa Fe		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.88	2.4	Watch
	3.40	3.00	2.10
	3.15	2.92	2.35	Watch
	3.38	3.13	2.4
	3.46	3.04	2.24	Watch
	3.2	3	2.35
	3.26	2.98	2.58	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.5)	2.98 ↓ (3.15)	2.34 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
28.4%

Draw
31.5%

Millonarios
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

29.8%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

30.1%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Asprilla W. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 32. Mafla C. 77. Obrian J. 7. Torres J. 16. Torres D. 9. Fagundez F. 17. Lovera M. 11. Rodallega H. (C)	1. Burrai J. (G) 34. Guerrero J. 26. Llinas A. (C) 6. Mosquera S. 4. Barreiro S. 22. Valencia S. 13. Chaverra F. 55. Leonai Souza 18. Urena R. 10. Ruiz D. 23. Castro L.
Substitutes
19. Bustos N. 31. Espitia J. (G) 3. Moreno V. 14. Palacios L. 39. Portocarrero C. 4. Puerta M. 25. Rodriguez E. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 42. Zuniga J.	12. Aguirre J. (G) 24. Angulo J. 20. Banguero D. 11. Estupinan A. 19. Garcia M. 25. Quintero D. 3. Samuel M. 43. Uparela C. 30. Viveros S.
Coaches
Repetto P.	Rodriguez O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Ruiz D. ⚽, Castro L. (A),
27', Valencia S. 🟨,
33', Leonai Souza ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
37', Repetto P. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Torres J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Mosquera S. 🟨,
50', 2 - 1, Fagundez F. ⚽,
52', Guerrero J. 🟨,
57', Valencia S. ↓, Samuel M. ↑,
57', Guerrero J. ↓, Estupinan A. ↑,
57', Mosquera S. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
60', Garcia M. 🟨,
64', Lovera M. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Rodriguez E. ⚽, Torres D. (A),
73', 3 - 2, Estupinan A. ⚽,
75', Obrian J. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
75', Fagundez F. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
75', Chaverra F. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
76', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 🟨,
78', Palacios H. 🟨,
83', (Penalty overturned),
86', Palacios H. 🟨,
89', Torres J. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
90', Rodallega H. ↓, Puerta M. ↑,
90+4', Samuel M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Santa Fe	12	6	4	2	19:12	7	22
6	Millonarios	14	5	7	2	19:12	7	22

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Santa Fe - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26.85%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
29.08.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.08.26	River Plate - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
22.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
08.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWTTW
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
30.08.26	Millonarios - Inter Bogotá	0:0 ✺
27.08.26	Llaneros SA - Millonarios	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Rionegro Águilas - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
14.08.26	Millonarios - Barranquilla	Canceled ✺
Colombian Primera A
04.08.26	Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWT?W

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
12.04.26	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1
25.10.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	0:1
06.09.25	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0
19.06.25	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2
01.06.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	0:1
26.03.25	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0
22.03.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	3:2

Upcoming Matches