Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 11

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Düren		Wuppertal

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	2.87
	2.2	3.4	3
	2.25	3.45	2.91
	2.23	3.42	2.88
	2.23	3.34	2.85
	2.2	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.82)	3.38 ↓ (4)	2.92 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Düren
41.5%

Draw
27.1%

Wuppertal
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.9%

22.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

22.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Düren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Düren's form might have worsened.

Wuppertal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Düren than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Düren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuppertal than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Düren - Wuppertal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Düren will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Düren won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Düren won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1.FC Düren
German Regionalliga West
05.10.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Düren	5:0 ✺
29.09.24	Düren - Köln II	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Düren - Uerdingen	5:3 ✺
14.09.24	Bocholt - Düren	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Düren - Rödinghausen	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWTL
- Wuppertaler SV
German Regionalliga West
05.10.24	Wuppertal - Bocholt	1:5 ✺
28.09.24	Rödinghausen - Wuppertal	3:0 ✺
20.09.24	Wuppertal - Schalke 04 II	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Wiedenbrück - Wuppertal	0:0 ✺
30.08.24	Wuppertal - Fortuna Köln	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
18.05.24	Wuppertal - Düren	1:1
25.11.23	Düren - Wuppertal	1:1
22.04.23	Wuppertal - Düren	3:1
29.10.22	Düren - Wuppertal	0:2

Düren - Wuppertal