Match Info

Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	DJK Ammerthal		Gebenbach

	1	X	2
	2.23	3.2	2.95
	2.23	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 (2.23)	3.2 (3.2)	2.95 (2.95)

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Current Win Probability

DJK Ammerthal
40.8%

Draw
28.4%

Gebenbach
30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

26.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for DJK Ammerthal have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Gebenbach have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DJK Ammerthal than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gebenbach than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Ogurtsov O. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
55', 2 - 0, Ogurtsov O. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Amidou I. ⚽,
72', 3 - 1, Ogurtsov O. ⚽,
87', 4 - 1, Janner M. ⚽,
89', 5 - 1, Ogurtsov O. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation and 16 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ammerthal won 3.

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

Ammerthal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gebenbach has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ammerthal won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ammerthal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 2.2:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DJK Ammerthal
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
25.04.25	DJK Ammerthal - Kornburg	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Neumarkt - DJK Ammerthal	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Eltersdorf - DJK Ammerthal	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	DJK Ammerthal - Fortuna Regensburg	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Ingolstadt II - DJK Ammerthal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- DJK Gebenbach
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
19.04.25	Gebenbach - Eltersdorf	2:2 ✺
16.04.25	Gebenbach - Neudrossenfeld	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Gebenbach - Ingolstadt II	0:6 ✺
29.03.25	Eichstätt - Gebenbach	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Gebenbach - Weiden	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
05.10.24	Gebenbach - DJK Ammerthal	0:0
06.04.24	Gebenbach - DJK Ammerthal	2:3
16.09.23	DJK Ammerthal - Gebenbach	3:0
20.05.23	DJK Ammerthal - Gebenbach	2:1
21.10.22	Gebenbach - DJK Ammerthal	6:1
16.03.22	Gebenbach - DJK Ammerthal	5:0
04.08.21	DJK Ammerthal - Gebenbach	5:3

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