Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday


	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg		Eltersdorf

	1	X	2
	3.4	4	1.73
	4.1	4	1.55
	3.45	3.95	1.7
	3.57	4.47	1.72
	3.42	4.08	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (6.2)	4.1 ↓ (5)	1.7 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
25.1%

Draw
22%

Eltersdorf
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

17.6%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

DJK Don Bosco Bamberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in DJK Don Bosco Bamberg's performance.

Eltersdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eltersdorf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for DJK Don Bosco Bamberg than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with DJK Don Bosco Bamberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eltersdorf than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eltersdorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Eltersdorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. DJK Bamberg will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Eltersdorf will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for DJK Bamberg: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches DJK Bamberg won 1.

DJK Bamberg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Eltersdorf is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Eltersdorf have a series of home games.

In this match Eltersdorf is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches DJK Bamberg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-16.

Including matches at home between the teams DJK Bamberg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
08.10.22	Donaustauf - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	4:1 ✺
25.09.22	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Cham	2:3 ✺
17.09.22	Weiden - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	4:1 ✺
11.09.22	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - DJK Ammerthal	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	Großbardorf - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL
- SC Eltersdorf
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
07.10.22	Eltersdorf - ATSV Erlangen	2:2 ✺
24.09.22	Eintracht Bamberg - Eltersdorf	2:0 ✺
16.09.22	Eltersdorf - Würzburger FV	1:1 ✺
09.09.22	Eltersdorf - Neumarkt	3:1 ✺
04.09.22	Eltersdorf - Jahn Regensburg II	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
04.10.20	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Eltersdorf	0:2
16.08.19	Eltersdorf - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	2:0
06.04.19	Eltersdorf - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	2:0
09.09.18	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Eltersdorf	3:0
06.10.17	Eltersdorf - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	1:0
20.05.17	Eltersdorf - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	2:3
23.10.16	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Eltersdorf	3:2

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