Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Süd - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Dachau		Heimstetten

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.77	1.89
	3.6	3.77	1.89
	3.72	3.87	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↓ (4.26)	3.8 ↓ (3.89)	1.86 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dachau
25.5%

Draw
24.5%

Heimstetten
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

23.6%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

23.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dachau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Heimstetten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dachau than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heimstetten than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Dachau - Heimstetten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
79', 1 - 0, Haist J. ⚽,
82', 2 - 0, Kosuch M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dachau won 1.

Dachau is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Heimstetten in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Heimstetten could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Heimstetten is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Dachau won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Dachau won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV 1865 Dachau
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
20.04.24	Ismaning - Dachau	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Dachau - Garching	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Sonthofen - Dachau	4:0 ✺
30.03.24	Dachau - Kirchanschöring	0:4 ✺
22.03.24	Erlbach - Dachau	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLLL
- SV Heimstetten
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
19.04.24	Heimstetten - Gundelfingen	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Pipinsried - Heimstetten	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Heimstetten - TSV Kottern	2:0 ✺
28.03.24	Heimstetten - Ismaning	3:2 ✺
24.03.24	Garching - Heimstetten	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
10.10.23	Heimstetten - Dachau	3:2
Club Friendly
18.02.19	Heimstetten - Dachau	4:0
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
31.03.18	Dachau - Heimstetten	1:0
15.09.17	Heimstetten - Dachau	1:0
11.03.17	Heimstetten - Dachau	2:2
13.08.16	Dachau - Heimstetten	3:1
19.03.16	Dachau - Heimstetten	1:2

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