Match Info

Date: 1 July 2022, Friday

Location: Alytus Stadium (Dainava)


	Dainava Alytus		Nevėžis

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.7
	2.2	3.4	2.75
	2.12	3.4	2.75
	2.12	3.5	2.83
	2.25	3.1	2.75
	1.99	3.72	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.99)	3.42 ↑ (3.3)	2.82 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dainava Alytus
41.9%

Draw
26.3%

Nevėžis
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

30.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dainava Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Nevėžis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dainava Alytus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nevėžis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	41.2%	23.5%

Dainava Alytus - Nevėžis Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Dainava will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Nevėžis will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dainava won 2.

Dainava is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nevėžis in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Dainava won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Dainava won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Division 2
23.06.22	Marijampolė City - Dainava Alytus	0:2 ✺
20.06.22	Dainava Alytus - Panevėžys 2	2:2 ✺
10.06.22	Dainava Alytus - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:2 ✺
03.06.22	Dainava Alytus - Banga Gargždai 2	3:0 ✺
28.05.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Dainava Alytus	0:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTWW
- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
23.06.22	Nevėžis - FA Šiauliai B	2:0 ✺
17.06.22	Nevėžis - Marijampolė City	3:1 ✺
12.06.22	Panevėžys 2 - Nevėžis	0:4 ✺
02.06.22	Nevėžis - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	7:1 ✺
28.05.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - Nevėžis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
25.07.21	Nevėžis - Dainava Alytus	0:1
09.07.21	Dainava Alytus - Nevėžis	1:1
24.04.21	Nevėžis - Dainava Alytus	0:1
06.03.21	Dainava Alytus - Nevėžis	0:2
Lithuanian Division 2
11.09.20	Nevėžis - Dainava Alytus	0:0
02.08.20	Dainava Alytus - Nevėžis	0:2
30.06.19	Dainava Alytus - Nevėžis	0:1

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