Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 29

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Studenternas IP (Uppsala)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Dalkurd		Jönköpings Södra

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.5	1.98
	3.3	3.95	1.92
	3.25	3.55	1.99
	3.41	4.12	1.96
	3.25	3.3	2	Watch
	3.4	3.74	2	Watch
	3.3	3.6	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.76)	3.67 ↑ (3.58)	1.98 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalkurd
27.9%

Draw
25.2%

Jönköpings Södra
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

26.2%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

26.1%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalkurd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dalkurd's form might have worsened.

Jönköpings Södra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jönköpings Södra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalkurd than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dalkurd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jönköpings Södra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	17.6%	70.6%

Dalkurd - Jönköpings Södra Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Dalkurd will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Jönköping will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jönköping: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dalkurd won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Dalkurd won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalkurd FF
Swedish Superettan
23.10.22	Västerås SK - Dalkurd	4:1 ✺
16.10.22	Dalkurd - Östersund	1:1 ✺
10.10.22	Örebro - Dalkurd	1:3 ✺
01.10.22	Landskrona - Dalkurd	3:1 ✺
17.09.22	Dalkurd - Utsikten	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LTWLW
- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Superettan
24.10.22	Jönköpings Södra - Norrby	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Örgryte - Jönköpings Södra	0:0 ✺
11.10.22	Jönköpings Södra - Brage	1:1 ✺
03.10.22	Trelleborg - Jönköpings Södra	1:3 ✺
17.09.22	Jönköpings Södra - Brommapojkarna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
23.07.22	Jönköpings Södra - Dalkurd	0:1
31.10.20	Dalkurd - Jönköpings Södra	1:1
12.08.20	Jönköpings Södra - Dalkurd	2:1
03.08.19	Dalkurd - Jönköpings Södra	0:2
12.04.19	Jönköpings Södra - Dalkurd	1:0

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