Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Damascus Al-Ahli		Al-Hurriya Aleppo

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 (2.08)	3.3 (3.3)	3.05 (3.05)

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Damascus Al-Ahli
43.2%

Draw
27.3%

Al-Hurriya Aleppo
29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.6%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Damascus Al-Ahli have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Al-Hurriya Aleppo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damascus Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hurriya Aleppo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Damascus Al-Ahli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Al-Hurriya has had a series of home games.

Damascus Al-Ahli could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damascus Al-Ahli
Syrian Premier League
27.02.26	Jableh - Damascus Al-Ahli	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Damascus Al-Ahli - Omaya	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Al-Wahda Damascus - Damascus Al-Ahli	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Damascus Al-Ahli - Al-Shorta	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Damascus Al-Ahli - Taliya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 LLWWT
- Al-Hurriya Aleppo
Syrian Premier League
27.02.26	Al-Hurriya Aleppo - Al-Ittihad Aleppo	1:5 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Jaish Damascus - Al-Hurriya Aleppo	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Al-Hurriya Aleppo - Al-Fotuwa	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Al-Hurriya Aleppo - Al-Wahda Damascus	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Al-Hurriya Aleppo - Hutteen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLL

Damascus Al-Ahli - Al-Hurriya Aleppo