Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 6

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Frank Holohan Soccer Complex (Dandenong)


	Dandenong City		Hume City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.35	2.4	Watch
	2.68	3.56	2.41
	3.08	2.96	2.42	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.3
	2.57	3.34	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.37)	3.28 ↓ (3.54)	2.38 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dandenong City
33.8%

Draw
27.8%

Hume City
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

25.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

25.8%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dandenong City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Dandenong City - Hume City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dandenong City won 1.

Dandenong City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hume City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dandenong City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1.1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dandenong City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dandenong City SC
Australian NPL Victoria
14.03.26	Avondale - Dandenong City	4:1 ✺
06.03.26	Dandenong City - Caroline Springs George Cross	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Heidelberg United - Dandenong City	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Dandenong City - Melbourne City Youth	2:4 ✺
14.02.26	St Albans Dinamo - Dandenong City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWLT
- Hume City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
13.03.26	Hume City - Dandenong Thunder	3:1 ✺
06.03.26	Green Gully - Hume City	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Hume City - Bentleigh Greens	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	South Melbourne - Hume City	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Hume City - Altona Magic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
06.06.25	Hume City - Dandenong City	3:0
28.02.25	Dandenong City - Hume City	1:3
12.07.24	Dandenong City - Hume City	2:4
13.04.24	Hume City - Dandenong City	0:0
04.06.22	Hume City - Dandenong City	1:2
04.03.22	Dandenong City - Hume City	2:1
13.03.21	Hume City - Dandenong City	3:1

Dandenong City - Hume City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide