Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday


	Darajani Gogo		Naivas

	1	X	2
	2.79	2.13	3.44
	2.48	2.68	3.22	Watch
	2.6	2.4	3.1
	2.6	2.42	3.31
	2.75	2.08	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.32)	2.34 ↓ (2.88)	3.31 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darajani Gogo
34.2%

Draw
38.6%

Naivas
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

31.3%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darajani Gogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Naivas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darajani Gogo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naivas than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Darajani Gogo - Naivas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5).

Darajani Gogo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Naivas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Darajani Gogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Naivas has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Darajani Gogo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Darajani Gogo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darajani Gogo
Kenyan Super League
26.11.25	Darajani Gogo - Soy United	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Kibera Black Stars - Darajani Gogo	0:1 ✺
10.11.25	Mombasa United - Darajani Gogo	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Kisumu All-Stars - Darajani Gogo	0:1 ✺
30.10.25	Darajani Gogo - Nairobi City Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWLWW
- Naivas FC
Kenyan Super League
22.11.25	Naivas - MOFA	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Naivas - Soy United	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Naivas - Kabati	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	Mombasa United - Naivas	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Naivas - Mwatate United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
10.05.25	Naivas - Darajani Gogo	2:2
11.12.24	Darajani Gogo - Naivas	3:1
05.11.23	Naivas - Darajani Gogo	0:0
04.02.23	Darajani Gogo - Naivas	0:0

Darajani Gogo - Naivas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide