Match Info

NB I. - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Nagyerdei Stadion (Debrecen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +


	Debreceni		Paksi SE

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.15
	3	3.6	2.05
	3	3.45	2.12
	3.28	3.7	2.22
	3.13	3.62	2.14	Watch
	3	3.4	2.15
	3.16	3.22	2.12	Watch
	3.2	3.25	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.66)	3.47 ↓ (3.77)	2.15 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Debreceni
29.9%

Draw
26.8%

Paksi SE
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

24.8%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

24.3%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Debreceni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Debreceni's form might have worsened.

Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Debreceni - Paksi SE Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Debreceni will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Paks will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paks: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Debreceni (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Paks (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Paks (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Debreceni (votes: 1 - 25%). Paks (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Erdelyi B. (G) 29. Kusnyir E. 4. Mejias J. 26. Lang A. 22. Vajda B. 5. Batik B. 8. Szucs T. 11. Komaromi G. 10. Dzsudzsak B. 99. Cibla F. 17. Barany D.	1. Kovacsik A. (G) 17. Hinora K. 24. Lenzser B. 30. Szabo J. 5. Vecsei B. 20. Zeke M. 19. Horvath K. 21. Papp K. 8. Balogh B. 9. Hahn J. 15. Szendrei A.
Substitutes
30. Asztalos N. 95. Bermejo A. 1. Demjen P. (G) 14. Gordic D. 28. Hofmann M. 49. Kulbachuk V. 16. Manzanara F. 15. Patai D. 77. Szecsi M. 13. Szuhodovszki S. 23. Tercza G. 20. Youga A.	7. Adam M. 28. Gyetvan M. (G) 18. Gyurkits G. 23. Mate C. 16. Pesti Z. 25. Simon B. (G) 26. Szekszardi M. 6. Tamas O. 22. Windecker J.
Coaches
Navarro S.	Bognar G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Barany D. ⚽,
63', Hahn J. ↓, Adam M. ↑,
63', Balogh B. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
64', Szendrei A. ↓, Gyurkits G. ↑,
66', Cibla F. ↓, Szuhodovszki S. ↑,
73', Horvath K. ↓, Pesti Z. ↑,
76', Batik B. 🟨,
79', Dzsudzsak B. ↓, Youga A. ↑,
79', Barany D. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
84', Szuhodovszki S. 🟨,
90+1', Adam M. 🟨,
90+3', Komaromi G. ↓, Szecsi M. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Debreceni won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Paks has had a series of home games.

Paks will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Debreceni won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:31. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Debreceni won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Paks	8	3	2	3	16:17	-1	11
9	Debrecen	8	2	3	3	12:15	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Debreceni - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.12%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Debreceni VSC
Hungarian NB I
31.01.26	Győri ETO - Debreceni	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Debreceni - Diósgyőri	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.01.26	Maribor - Debreceni	2:3 ✺
15.01.26	Debreceni - OFK Beograd	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Debreceni	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWLL
- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
01.02.26	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Puskás Academy - Paksi SE	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.01.26	Paksi SE - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:3 ✺
09.01.26	Paksi SE - Sumgayit	5:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
20.12.25	Paksi SE - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
18.10.25	Paksi SE - Debreceni	1:1
18.05.25	Debreceni - Paksi SE	0:0
22.02.25	Paksi SE - Debreceni	4:3
19.10.24	Debreceni - Paksi SE	0:5
10.03.24	Paksi SE - Debreceni	1:1
12.11.23	Debreceni - Paksi SE	1:0
27.09.23	Paksi SE - Debreceni	2:0

Upcoming Matches