Match Info

CONCACAF Caribbean Cup - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Hasely Crawford Stadium (Port of Spain)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	Disney+


	Defence Force		Cibao

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.91	3.61	1.82
	2.86	3.16	2.34	Watch
	3.91	3.22	1.87	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (2.86)	3.35 ↑ (3.16)	1.94 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defence Force
24.8%

Draw
27.6%

Cibao
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

28.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

29.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defence Force's form might have worsened.

Cibao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cibao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defence Force, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cibao than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cibao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Defence Force - Cibao Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cibao (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Defence Force (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Defence Force (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cibao (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Bateau S. ⚽, Araujo-Wilson J. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Molino K. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 3 - 0, St. Hillaire K. K. ⚽, Molino K. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Defence Force has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cibao is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Defence Force may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Defence Force won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defence Force FC
Trinidad and Tobago Premier League
09.11.25	Police FC - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
Caribbean Club Championship
05.11.25	Mount Pleasant - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
Trinidad and Tobago Premier League
01.11.25	Defence Force - Cunupia Eagles FC	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Defence Force - Port of Spain	0:0 ✺
Caribbean Club Championship
22.10.25	Defence Force - Mount Pleasant	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWTTL
- Cibao FC
Dominican Republic LDF
21.11.25	Cibao - Universidad O&M	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Atlántico - Cibao	0:5 ✺
Caribbean Club Championship
06.11.25	Cibao - Universidad O&M	0:1 ✺
30.10.25	Universidad O&M - Cibao	1:1 ✺
Dominican Republic LDF
26.10.25	Atlético Vega Real - Cibao	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Caribbean Club Championship
01.10.25	Cibao - Defence Force	0:2

Defence Force - Cibao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide