Match Info

ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 7

Date: 19 September 2023, Tuesday


	Defensa y Justicia 2		Arsenal Sarandí 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.7
	1.83	3.34	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.98)	3.37 ↑ (3.28)	3.93 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia 2
49.2%

Draw
27.3%

Arsenal Sarandí 2
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.1%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

27%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Arsenal Sarandí 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia 2 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí 2 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).

Defensa y Justicia 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensa y Justicia 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Arsenal Sarandí 2 have a series of home games.

Defensa y Justicia 2 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia 2 won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
14.09.23	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Central Córdoba 2	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Tigre 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:0 ✺
05.09.23	Boca Juniors 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:0 ✺
29.08.23	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	3:0 ✺
23.08.23	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Platense 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLLT
- Arsenal Sarandí 2
Argentinian Reserve League
14.09.23	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1 ✺
04.09.23	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
31.08.23	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:0 ✺
22.08.23	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
04.07.23	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	0:0
31.07.22	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:1
18.03.22	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	3:1

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