Match Info

ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday


	Arsenal Sarandí 2		Vélez Sársfield 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.54	3.69	1.6
	6	3.9	1.5
	5.7	3.7	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.75 ↓ (6.11)	3.76 ↓ (3.95)	1.55 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí 2
16.1%

Draw
24.5%

Vélez Sársfield 2
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

23.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

22.9%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Vélez Sársfield 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí 2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Play Offs: )).

Arsenal Sarandí 2 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vélez 2 is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Vélez 2 is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí 2
Argentinian Reserve League
04.09.23	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
31.08.23	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:0 ✺
22.08.23	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Instituto 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	1:0 ✺
25.07.23	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL
- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
05.09.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:0 ✺
30.08.23	River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1 ✺
22.08.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Independiente 2	4:1 ✺
15.08.23	Barracas Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:2 ✺
25.07.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
27.06.23	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1
07.09.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	1:0
13.03.22	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0

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