Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3, LPF Play


	Defensa y Justicia 2		Racing Club 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.23	3.25	2.9	Watch
	2.17	3.36	3.17
	2.15	3.33	3.09	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.5
	2.14	3.48	3.17	Watch
	2.23	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.4)	3.27 ↑ (2.9)	2.88 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia 2
40.1%

Draw
28.1%

Racing Club 2
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

31.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

31.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Racing Club 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia 2 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Club 2 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Defensa y Justicia 2 - Racing Club 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia 2 will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia 2 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Racing 2 (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Racing 2 (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia 2 (votes: 2 - 40%). Racing 2 (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Martinez T. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Perez J. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Carrizo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 2 - 2, Kozlovsky N. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Defensa y Justicia 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
15.05.25	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:1 ✺
08.05.25	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	2:2 ✺
29.04.25	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Tigre 2	3:1 ✺
16.04.25	Boca Juniors 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTTWL
- Racing Club 2
Argentinian Reserve League
15.05.25	Racing Club 2 - Central Córdoba 2	3:1 ✺
07.05.25	Aldosivi 2 - Racing Club 2	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Racing Club 2 - Banfield 2	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Racing Club 2	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Independiente 2 - Racing Club 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
08.06.24	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Racing Club 2	1:0
18.10.23	Racing Club 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	3:2
27.05.23	Racing Club 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:1
03.10.22	Racing Club 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:1

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