Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium


	Independiente 2		Racing Club 2

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.87	3.00
	2.32	2.92	2.98	Watch
	2.3	2.92	3.19
	2.4	2.76	3.25	Watch
	2.25	2.85	3.1
	2.27	2.89	3.17	Watch
	2.3	2.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.02)	2.87 ↓ (3.15)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente 2
39.3%

Draw
31.5%

Racing Club 2
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Racing Club 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Club 2 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Independiente 2 - Racing Club 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente 2 won 0.

Independiente 2 is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Racing 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Independiente 2 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Independiente 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente 2 - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.06.26	Independiente 2 - Belgrano 2	3:2 ✺
09.06.26	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	0:4 ✺
02.06.26	Independiente 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:0 ✺
26.05.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Independiente 2	1:1 ✺
19.05.26	Independiente 2 - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWTW
- Racing Club 2
Argentinian Reserve League
17.06.26	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Racing Club 2	2:3 ✺
08.06.26	Racing Club 2 - Banfield 2	1:2 ✺
03.06.26	Rosario Central 2 - Racing Club 2	3:0 ✺
26.05.26	Racing Club 2 - Tigre 2	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Racing Club 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
21.04.26	Independiente 2 - Racing Club 2	1:2
03.09.25	Racing Club 2 - Independiente 2	0:0
17.04.25	Independiente 2 - Racing Club 2	2:3
06.09.24	Independiente 2 - Racing Club 2	2:3
03.04.24	Racing Club 2 - Independiente 2	3:2
21.09.23	Independiente 2 - Racing Club 2	1:0
14.04.23	Racing Club 2 - Independiente 2	1:0

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