Match Info

ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 17

Date: 18 May 2023, Thursday


	Defensa y Justicia 2		Rosario Central 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.6
	2.4	3.05	2.75
	2.31	3.32	2.82
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.29	3.44	2.79
	2.3	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (3.36)	3.24 ↑ (2.88)	2.73 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia 2
38.7%

Draw
28%

Rosario Central 2
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

31.1%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

29.8%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensa y Justicia 2's performance.

Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosario Central 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia 2 than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensa y Justicia 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosario Central 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Defensa y Justicia 2 - Rosario Central 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 15).

Defensa y Justicia 2 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rosario Central 2 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
11.05.23	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	4:1 ✺
05.05.23	Defensa y Justicia 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:1 ✺
27.04.23	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:2 ✺
21.04.23	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Barracas Central 2	5:0 ✺
16.04.23	Instituto 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTWW
- Rosario Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
12.05.23	Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:4 ✺
07.05.23	Platense 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:0 ✺
27.04.23	Rosario Central 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	1:3 ✺
20.04.23	Boca Juniors 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Rosario Central 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
07.10.22	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:6

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