Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 18

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Rosario Central 2		Vélez Sársfield 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	3.00	2.25
	2.75	2.85	2.38	Watch
	3.08	3.10	2.40
	3.12	2.88	2.38	Watch
	2.90	2.80	2.30
	3.13	3.00	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.15)	2.94 ↓ (3.17)	2.35 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central 2
30.5%

Draw
30.9%

Vélez Sársfield 2
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.6%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosario Central 2's form might have worsened.

Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosario Central 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 🟥,
58', 0 - 2, ⚽,
64', 0 - 3, ⚽,
81', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Vélez 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario Central 2 won 1.

Rosario Central 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vélez 2 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rosario Central 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rosario Central 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rosario Central 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
09.06.26	River Plate 2 - Rosario Central 2	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	Rosario Central 2 - Racing Club 2	3:0 ✺
28.05.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Rosario Central 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Aldosivi 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLL
- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
10.06.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Tigre 2	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1 ✺
27.05.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Instituto 2	2:3 ✺
21.05.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - River Plate 2	1:0 ✺
12.05.26	Racing Club 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
30.09.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:3
29.04.25	Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:2
11.10.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2	2:1
08.05.24	Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:2
05.10.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:1
12.05.23	Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:4
19.06.22	Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:2

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