Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Defensa y Justicia 2		Unión Santa Fe 2

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	1.91	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.06	3.37	3.46
				Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.2
	1.94	3.46	3.76
	1.94	3.25	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.13)	3.17 ↑ (3.01)	3.47 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia 2
44.6%

Draw
28.9%

Unión Santa Fe 2
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30.4%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

29.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Unión Santa Fe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia 2 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe 2 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Defensa y Justicia 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Coria A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Ratotti F. (Pen),
61', 2 - 1, Ingravidi M. ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, Cerrudo V. J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia 2 won 3.

Defensa y Justicia 2 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Unión Santa Fe 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Defensa y Justicia 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Defensa y Justicia 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
29.04.25	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Tigre 2	3:1 ✺
16.04.25	Boca Juniors 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:0 ✺
09.04.25	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:1 ✺
01.04.25	Belgrano 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLLL
- Unión Santa Fe 2
Argentinian Reserve League
30.04.25	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Central Córdoba 2	0:0 ✺
24.04.25	Aldosivi 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Banfield 2	0:0 ✺
10.04.25	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Racing Club 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
16.10.24	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:0
16.05.24	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	2:1
13.10.23	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	1:0
26.07.23	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	1:1
12.10.22	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:1
29.04.22	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:0

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