Match Info

Liga Women - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Defensores del Ilucán		FBC Melgar

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.72
	3.87	3.88	1.71	Watch
	3.88	3.88	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↓ (7.77)	3.84 ↓ (5.52)	1.73 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores del Ilucán
23.7%

Draw
23.8%

FBC Melgar
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

16.4%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores del Ilucán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensores del Ilucán's performance.

FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FBC Melgar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Defensores del Ilucán - FBC Melgar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In this match, Melgar is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Def del Ilucán won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Def del Ilucán won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	FBC Melgar W	10	7	0	3	28:10	18	21
10	Defensores W	10	2	0	8	8:39	-31	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores del Ilucán Women
Peruvian Liga Women
18.09.25	UNSAAC - Defensores del Ilucán	6:0 ✺
07.09.25	Defensores del Ilucán - Flamengo FBC	1:2 ✺
01.09.25	Killas - Defensores del Ilucán	4:1 ✺
27.08.25	Defensores del Ilucán - Universitario de Deportes	0:9 ✺
17.08.25	Defensores del Ilucán - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34 LLLLT
- FBC Melgar Women
Peruvian Liga Women
12.10.25	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	4:0 ✺
07.09.25	FBC Melgar - Real Ancash	3:2 ✺
01.09.25	Flamengo FBC - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga Women
07.06.25	FBC Melgar - Defensores del Ilucán	5:1
06.04.25	Defensores del Ilucán - FBC Melgar	1:1
03.08.24	FBC Melgar - Defensores del Ilucán	6:0
07.06.24	FBC Melgar - Defensores del Ilucán	0:0

Defensores del Ilucán - FBC Melgar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide