Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday


	Deisenhofen		Ingolstadt II

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	3.9
	1.68	3.75	3.7
	1.65	4.1	3.6
	1.76	4.08	4.1
	1.69	3.94	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.93)	3.97 ↓ (4)	3.85 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deisenhofen
53.7%

Draw
22.8%

Ingolstadt II
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

22.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

22.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deisenhofen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deisenhofen's performance.

Ingolstadt II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ingolstadt II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deisenhofen than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deisenhofen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt II than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ingolstadt II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Deisenhofen - Ingolstadt II Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deisenhofen will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ingolstadt II will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deisenhofen: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 12).

Deisenhofen is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ingolstadt II is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Deisenhofen is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Deisenhofen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Deisenhofen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Deisenhofen
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
09.08.22	Ismaning - Deisenhofen	5:1 ✺
05.08.22	Deisenhofen - Erlbach	1:0 ✺
30.07.22	Kirchanschöring - Deisenhofen	2:2 ✺
23.07.22	Deisenhofen - Garching	1:0 ✺
19.07.22	Deisenhofen - 1860 Rosenheim	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTWW
- Ingolstadt II
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
09.08.22	Ingolstadt II - Dachau	2:0 ✺
05.08.22	Schalding-Heining - Ingolstadt II	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Ingolstadt II - 1860 München II	2:2 ✺
24.07.22	Türkspor Augsburg - Ingolstadt II	1:2 ✺
19.07.22	Ingolstadt II - Nördlingen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
26.03.22	Deisenhofen - Ingolstadt II	2:2
04.09.21	Ingolstadt II - Deisenhofen	1:1
24.10.20	Deisenhofen - Ingolstadt II	2:0
06.09.19	Ingolstadt II - Deisenhofen	3:0

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