Match Info

BELGIUM: Pro League U21 - Round 22

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday


	Dender U21		Kortrijk U21

	1	X	2
	6.12	5.05	1.38
	6.12	5.06	1.38
	5.95	4.5	1.41
	6	5	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.05 ↑ (5.67)	4.9 ↑ (4.6)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dender U21
15.2%

Draw
18.7%

Kortrijk U21
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

19.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

19.5%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kortrijk U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender U21 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kortrijk U21 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+2', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
67', 1 - 2, ⚽,
69', 1 - 3, ⚽,
77', 1 - 4, ⚽,
86', 2 - 4, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3).

Dender U21 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kortrijk U21 is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Kortrijk U21 have a series of home games.

In this match Kortrijk U21 is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dender U21 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dender U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dender U21
Belgian Pro League U21
15.03.24	Lommel U21 - Dender U21	6:0 ✺
08.03.24	Dender U21 - Francs Borains U21	3:2 ✺
02.03.24	Sint-Truidense U21 - Dender U21	5:0 ✺
23.02.24	Dender U21 - Westerlo U21	1:1 ✺
16.02.24	Dender U21 - RFC Liège U21	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWLTL
- KV Kortrijk U21
Belgian Pro League U21
15.03.24	Kortrijk U21 - Beveren U21	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Kortrijk U21 - Lommel U21	3:2 ✺
01.03.24	Francs Borains U21 - Kortrijk U21	2:3 ✺
23.02.24	Kortrijk U21 - Oostende U21	1:1 ✺
16.02.24	Kortrijk U21 - Patro Eisden U21	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Pro League U21
10.11.23	Kortrijk U21 - Dender U21	0:2
13.03.23	Dender U21 - Kortrijk U21	2:1
24.10.22	Kortrijk U21 - Dender U21	1:0

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