Match Info

CHILE: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Deportes Limache		Deportes Valdivia

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.08	5.57
	1.69	3.45	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.58)	3.27 ↓ (3.64)	5.06 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Limache
53.8%

Draw
28.1%

Deportes Valdivia
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

24.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

23.8%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Deportes Valdivia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Limache, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Valdivia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B and 6).

Limache is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for Primera B

Limache in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Deportes Valdivia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Limache could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Limache is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Limache to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Limache won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Limache won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Limache
Chilean Segunda Division
08.09.23	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Limache	0:3 ✺
03.09.23	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Limache	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Deportes Limache - Lautaro de Buin	3:1 ✺
11.08.23	Deportes Limache - Iberia Los Ángeles	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Deportes Linares - Deportes Limache	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWWW
- Deportes Valdivia
Chilean Segunda Division
09.09.23	Deportes Valdivia - Trasandino de Los Andes	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Deportes Rengo - Deportes Valdivia	2:2 ✺
27.08.23	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Concepción	0:2 ✺
13.08.23	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Valdivia	1:4 ✺
05.08.23	Deportes Valdivia - General Velásquez	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
13.05.23	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Limache	1:2
06.08.22	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Limache	3:0
07.05.22	Deportes Limache - Deportes Valdivia	1:2
01.11.21	Deportes Limache - Deportes Valdivia	1:1
31.07.21	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Limache	0:0

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