Match Info

Primera Division Women - Round 9

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bueras (Santiago de Chile)


	Deportes Magallanes		Deportes Recoleta

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.65	5.5
	1.5	4.6	5.6
	1.42	5.02	5.31	Watch
	1.44	4	5
	1.54	4.52	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)	4.56 ↓ (4.7)	5.22 ↓ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Magallanes
62.5%

Draw
20%

Deportes Recoleta
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

19.5%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

13.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Magallanes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Recoleta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Recoleta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Arriagada C. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Arriagada C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', 3 - 0, Tapia A. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Quezada D. ⚽,
86', 3 - 2, Soto F. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Magallanes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Recoleta has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Magallanes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Recoleta has had a series of home games.

In this match, Magallanes is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Magallanes Women
Chilean Primera Division Women
13.05.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Magallanes	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Deportes Magallanes - Coquimbo Unido	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Magallanes	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Deportes Magallanes - Unión Española	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Palestino - Deportes Magallanes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LTWLL
- Deportes Recoleta Women
Chilean Primera Division Women
13.05.26	Deportes Recoleta - Universidad Católica	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	Deportes Recoleta - Santiago Wanderers	1:4 ✺
25.04.26	Deportes Recoleta - Palestino	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Recoleta	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Temuco	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Recoleta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide