The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Melipilla 56.2%
Draw 25%
Arturo Fernández Vial 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.4%
24.2%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.6%
22.2%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Arturo Fernández Vial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Melipilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arturo Fernández Vial than the current prediction. (-2%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Taiva B. ⚽,
40', Canessa O. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Diaz C. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Vargas L. ⚽,
90+1', Avila M. 🟥,
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B and 10).
Melipilla in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Arturo Fernández Vial is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Arturo Fernández Vial could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Melipilla is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Melipilla to win the game is with odds 1.72.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Melipilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
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