The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Puerto Montt 15.6%
Draw 21.8%
Colo-Colo 62.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.4%
21.8%
65.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.1%
21.2%
67.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colo-Colo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Puerto Montt - Colo Colo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Collao G. (G) 34. Gonzalez K. 2. Morales A. 26. Mancilla N. 5. Calisto F. 6. Diaz D. 22. Jaime J. 38. Naguil Y. 21. Espinoza F. 11. Castro R. 9. Vazquez L. (C)
12. Villanueva E. (G) 28. Rojas J. 23. Vidal A. (C) 3. Olguin A. 7. Marchant F. 42. Diaz C. 8. Madrid A. 6. Alarcon T. 21. Wiemberg E. 9. Correa J. 10. Pastran L.
Substitutes
36. Ascui E. (G) 14. Cardenas J. 23. Castillo G. 15. Egana K. 16. Flores J. 31. Nanning C. 17. Nieto B. 28. Perez S. 18. Sabella A.
35. Astudillo J. 11. Bolados M. 54. Diaz G. 13. Fernandez M. 25. Maureira G. (G) 37. Orellana M. 19. Romero M. 31. Torres B. 16. Vega S.
Coaches
Mancilla E.
Ortiz F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Castro R. 🟨,
41', Correa J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Olguin A. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
46', Naguil Y. ↓, Nieto B. ↑,
49', Diaz C. 🟨,
59', Castro R. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
59', Espinoza F. ↓, Sabella A. ↑,
59', Jaime J. ↓, Castillo G. ↑,
67', Correa J. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
67', Diaz C. ↓, Bolados M. ↑,
78', Calisto F. ↓, Egana K. ↑,
80', Alarcon T. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 1, Pastran L. ⚽, Romero M. (A),
Preview
First leg.
Puerto Montt has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Colo-Colo shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Puerto Montt may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Colo-Colo enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Puerto Montt has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 2:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puerto Montt against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.