Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 6

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Regional de Chinquihue (Puerto Montt)


	Deportes Puerto Montt		General Velásquez

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	4.8
	1.58	3.85	4.8
	1.57	4.01	4.92	Watch
	1.49	4.11	6.43	Watch
	1.58	3.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.49)	3.91 ↑ (3.82)	5.15 ↓ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Puerto Montt
58.9%

Draw
23.4%

General Velásquez
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

23.9%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

22.8%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

General Velásquez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Puerto Montt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General Velásquez than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Deportes Puerto Montt - General Velásquez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ureta L. (G) 18. Arias M. 20. Bahamonde D. 5. Calisto F. (C) 23. Castillo G. 6. Diaz D. 7. Lagos M. 4. Riveros M. 27. Torres S. 10. Vargas C. 9. Vazquez L.	22. Abarca F. (G) 20. Campos B. 5. Carrasco J. (C) 17. Cataldo I. 26. Herrera J. 15. Medina G. 8. Najul C. 21. Orellana A. 29. Orrego V. 6. Quezada M. 19. Salas Pizarro D. E.
Substitutes
11. Arias J. 25. Bustos G. 8. Cardenas J. 1. Catalan K. (G) 28. Perez S. 2. Rodriguez C. 21. Toledo M.	9. Arriaza C. 2. Carvajal I. 13. Castillo H. 11. Diaz Garcia N. 16. Gassmann A. 12. Lecaros C. (G) 23. Leguizamon L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Abarca F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Medina G. 🟨,
52', 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Calisto F. (Own goal),
56', Orrego V. 🟨,
57', Torres S. 🟨,
58', Diaz D. 🟨,
62', Arias M. ↓, Bustos G. ↑,
62', Torres S. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
73', Cataldo I. 🟨,
78', Campos B. ↓, Castillo H. ↑,
78', Vargas C. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
85', Najul C. ↓, Arriaza C. ↑,
90+7', Bahamonde D. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Puerto Montt in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches General Velásquez is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Puerto Montt is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Puerto Montt to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Puerto Montt won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Montt won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Segunda Division
05.04.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Rengo	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - San Antonio Unido	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - Brujas Salamanca	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWTW
- General Velásquez
Chilean Segunda Division
06.04.25	General Velásquez - Provincial Ovalle	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	General Velásquez - Deportes Melipilla	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Santiago City - General Velásquez	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	General Velásquez - Provincial Osorno	3:3 ✺
02.03.25	Concón National - General Velásquez	Concon National awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTT?

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
20.10.24	General Velásquez - Deportes Puerto Montt	5:1
26.05.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - General Velásquez	0:0

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