The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo A Coruña 23.2%
Draw 25.1%
Atlético Madrid 51.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.8%
21.7%
61.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.3%
21%
63.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo A Coruña's performance.
Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo A Coruña that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo A Coruña - Atlético Madrid Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Teixeira Pereira I. (G) 2. Caracas D. 23. Barth M. (C) 4. Ranera A. 17. Montesinos V. 16. Fernandez P. 8. Rodriguez O. 18. Apostol F. 15. Dominguez S. 19. Pardo L. 10. Millene
1. Lola (C) 2. Rodriguez Herrero L. M. 5. Perez X. 4. Lauren Leal 11. Otermin R. 21. Csiszar H. 14. Penalvo N. 10. Iannuzzi F. 18. Gio Garbelini 7. Jensen S. 16. Segura C.
Substitutes
28. Castineyras C. 21. Gomez A. 26. Hernandez P. 20. Marisa 11. Monteagudo P. 7. Nieto E. 9. Pizarro E. 14. Rivas L. 5. Saborido P. 3. Vazquez E. 31. Veiga A. (G)
23. Alexia 34. Barrios C. 19. Calligaris V. 20. Gabi Nunes 12. Kuhl K. 13. Perez G. (G) 17. Poljak A. 3. Rodriguez L. 6. Zubieta M.
Coaches
Rodriguez A.
Gonzalez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Gio Garbelini ⚽, Otermin R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dominguez S. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
62', Pardo L. ↓, Hernandez P. ↑,
62', Fernandez P. ↓, Pizarro E. ↑,
66', Csiszar H. ↓, Zubieta M. ↑,
66', Segura C. ↓, Poljak A. ↑,
69', Apostol F. ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Pizarro E. ⚽, Montesinos V. (A),
78', Otermin R. ↓, Calligaris V. ↑,
78', Poljak A. ↓, Alexia ↑,
79', Caracas D. ↓, Saborido P. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Iannuzzi F. ⚽, Alexia (A),
84', Jensen S. ↓, Gabi Nunes ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 0.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
In this matchup, Atlético Madrid is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:18 (averaging 0.7:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:9 goals (averaging 0.7:3 per game).