Match Info

Primera C - Round 8

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday


	Deportivo Español		Defensores de Cambaceres

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.1	5
	2.35	1.95	5.5	Watch
	2.42	1.89	5.79
	1.64	3.36	5.51	Watch
	2.46	2.02	5.92
	2.35	1.95	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.97)	2.38 ↓ (3)	5.54 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Español
43.6%

Draw
39.4%

Defensores de Cambaceres
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

30.3%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

29.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Defensores de Cambaceres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Cambaceres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Cambaceres than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Cambaceres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Español - Defensores de Cambaceres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Rios N. ⚽,
68', 2 - 0, Gomez V. ⚽,
90+1', Vivanco G. J. 🟥,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 13).

Recent matches Deportivo Español is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cambaceres is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Español could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Español is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Español won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Español won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Español - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.2%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Defensores de Cambaceres - the odds 3.88 are the expected chance of winning is 23.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Español
Argentinian Primera C
20.04.25	Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Español	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Deportivo Español - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Deportivo Español	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Deportivo Español - Puerto Nuevo	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Lugano - Deportivo Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWT
- Defensores de Cambaceres
Argentinian Primera C
20.04.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Atlético Claypole	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Deportivo Muñiz - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Justo José de Urquiza	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	El Porvenir - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Leandro N. Alem	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
14.09.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Deportivo Español	0:0
14.04.24	Deportivo Español - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:0

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