Match Info

ARUBA: Division di Honor - Round 9

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Deportivo Nacional		United FC

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.75	7.75
				Watch
	1.33	4.5	7
	1.28	5.4	7.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.45)	4.88 ↑ (4.2)	7.43 ↑ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Nacional
69.3%

Draw
18.5%

United FC
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

21.5%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

20.4%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Nacional's performance.

United FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United FC than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Deportivo Nacional - United FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division di Honor (Winners stage: ) and 8 in the zone Division di Honor (Relegation)).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Deportivo Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Deportivo Nacional have a series of guest games.

Recently United FC have a series of home games.

In this match Deportivo Nacional is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Deportivo Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23:7 (average 7.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:6 (average 5.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Deportivo Nacional
Aruban Division di Honor
23.11.24	Britannia - Deportivo Nacional	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	Estrella - Deportivo Nacional	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Racing Club Aruba - Deportivo Nacional	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Deportivo Nacional - Jong Aruba	4:1 ✺
20.10.24	Dakota - Deportivo Nacional	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWT
- United FC
Aruban Division di Honor
07.12.24	United FC - Unistars	5:0 ✺
22.11.24	United FC - Jong Aruba	2:2 ✺
08.11.24	United FC - Britannia	1:4 ✺
03.11.24	Estrella - United FC	3:1 ✺
26.10.24	United FC - La Fama	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Aruban Division di Honor
20.11.22	Deportivo Nacional - United FC	4:2
09.04.22	United FC - Deportivo Nacional	1:12
04.12.21	Deportivo Nacional - United FC	7:4

Deportivo Nacional - United FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide