Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:45	AFA Play, HBO Max, TNT Sports
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Usa	15:45	Fanatiz
International	19:45	TyC Sports Internacional


	Deportivo Riestra		Central Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.20	4.50	Watch
	1.95	3.00	4.33
	1.83	3.10	5.10
	1.98	3.09	4.96
	1.94	3.19	4.47
	1.95	3.00	4.90
	1.95	3.08	4.65	Watch
	1.93	3.10	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.87)	3.1 ↓ (3.16)	4.66 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
49.1%

Draw
30.6%

Central Córdoba
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

29.6%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Central Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Riestra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Deportivo Riestra - Central Córdoba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Riestra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Deportivo Riestra will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce I. (G) 15. Sansotre N. 19. Randazzo J. 22. Paz C. 36. Bracamonte M. 10. Sanchez B. 8. Celiz M. (C) 14. Monje P. 27. Goitia J. 29. Graneros A. 7. Alonso A.	1. Aguerre A. (C) 33. Moyano S. 21. Aguilar F. 2. Maciel A. R. 23. Caceres D. 22. Vera M. 28. Sequeira L. 10. Iacobellis M. 18. Gonzalez L. 7. Barrera D. 27. Santos M.
Substitutes
17. Almada A. 23. Arzamendia M. (G) 13. Gallo R. 6. Gariglio I. 21. Gonzalez T. 20. Lauro T. 40. Obredor G. 2. Quintana C. 5. Ramirez P. 35. Stringa A. 3. Tovo E. 16. Watson N.	17. Casermeiro Y. 47. Cuitino M. 32. Garrido N. 44. Ibanez J. 3. Marchi L. 20. Martinez F. 19. Naya E. 30. Rodriguez F. 25. Vallejos J. (G) 9. Varaldo L.
Coaches
Duro G.	Dominguez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Aguilar F. 🟨,
3', 1 - 0, Celiz M. ⚽,
5', Sansotre N. 🟨,
18', Moyano S. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
38', 1 - 1, Santos M. ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Graneros A. ↓, Gonzalez T. ↑,
46', Goitia J. ↓, Ramirez P. ↑,
51', Iacobellis M. 🟨,
58', Barrera D. ↓, Garrido N. ↑,
58', Santos M. ↓, Varaldo L. ↑,
66', Maciel A. R. 🟨,
73', Caceres D. ↓, Marchi L. ↑,
74', Gonzalez L. ↓, T. Ramirez ↑,
77', Alonso A. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
86', Sanchez B. ↓, Almada A. ↑,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 12th and 14th).

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

Bookmakers give the edge to Deportivo Riestra for this game.

Confirmed absences for Deportivo Riestra: Benegas N. (Inactive) Gariglio I. (Inactive) Sanchez B. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Central Córdoba: Caceres D. (Inactive) Juarez F. (Knee Injury) Santos M. (Inactive).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Riestra has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 0.8:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Riestra against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.09.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
14.09.26	Deportivo Riestra - Lanús	0:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
09.09.26	Deportivo Riestra - Banfield	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.09.26	Platense - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLTT
- Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.09.26	Central Córdoba - Defensa y Justicia	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Boca Juniors - Central Córdoba	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Central Córdoba - Independiente	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Central Córdoba	0:0 ✺
24.08.26	Tigre - Central Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.26	Central Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	1:0
12.09.25	Deportivo Riestra - Central Córdoba	2:0
28.02.25	Central Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	0:0
05.08.24	Deportivo Riestra - Central Córdoba	1:0

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